Kulindeleke ukuba olu hlobo lokuhla luqhubeke, ikakhulu ngenxa yemfuno ephantsi, iindleko eziphantsi zezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo kunye nobonelelo olwaneleyo.
Ukungena kwikota yesine, amaxabiso e-PE, PP, PS, PVC kunye ne-PET aqhubeke nokuhla ukusukela ngoJulayi, eqhutywa kukuncipha kwemfuno, ukunikezelwa okwaneleyo, ukwehla kweendleko zezinto eziluhlaza kunye nokungaqiniseki ngokubanzi kuqoqosho lwehlabathi. Kwimeko ye-polyethylene kunye ne-polypropylene, ukuqaliswa komthamo omtsha obalulekileyo yenye into, ngelixa ukungeniswa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ngamaxabiso akhuphisanayo kuyingxaki kwi-PET kwaye mhlawumbi ne-polystyrene.
Nantsi imbono kaMichael Greenberg, uMcebisi wezoThengo kwiResin Technology, Inc. (RTi), uMhlalutyi oPhezulu kwiPetroChemWire (PCW), i-CEO yePlastics Exchange, kunye noScott Newell, i-EVP Polyolefins kwi-resin distributor kunye ne-componder Spartan Polymers.
Nangona abathengisi be-polyethylene bebhengeze ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngeesenti ezi-5-7 ngepawundi ngoSeptemba-Okthobha, amaxabiso e-polyethylene ehle ubuncinane ngeesenti ezi-4 ukuya kwiisenti ezi-6 ngepawundi ngo-Agasti kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ehle ngakumbi ngoSeptemba, utshilo uDavid Barry. . UMlawuli oNxulumeneyo we-PCW wePolyethylene, iPolystyrene, kunye nePolystyrene uRobin Chesshire, uSekela Mongameli we-RTi wePolyethylene, iPolystyrene, kunye neNylon-6 Markets, kunye noGreenberg wePlastics Exchange. Endaweni yoko, le mithombo ngokubanzi ikholelwa ukuba amaxabiso anokwehla kancinci ngo-Okthobha nakule nyanga.
IChesshire yeRTi iqaphele ukuba imfuno ye-polyethylene ihlale inamandla phantse unyaka wonke, kodwa ekupheleni kukaSeptemba yayisele yehlile kwiindawo ezininzi zemarike. UBarry wePCW uqaphele ukuba iindleko eziphantsi zezinto eziluhlaza, akukho zimpawu zokunyuka kwemfuno kunye nokuvulwa kwamandla amatsha amakhulu avela kwiShell akuyi kunyusa amaxabiso. Ukwaqaphele ukuba amaxabiso e-polyethylene ehle ngeesenti ezi-4 ukuya kwiisenti ezi-7 ngeponti ukusukela ngoSeptemba: "Imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle isabuthathaka, abarhwebi banempahla enkulu, kwaye akukho kungaqiniseki malunga nokunyakaza kwamaxabiso kwinyanga ezayo. ayimi njengoko abathengi belindele ukuncitshiswa kwamaxabiso ukuya phambili."
Imithombo ikwaphawule ukuba ababoneleli banciphise imveliso. Ngo-Okthobha, uGreenberg uchaze imakethi yentengiso: “Uninzi lwabaprosesa basathenga i-resin kuphela xa kufuneka, kwaye abanye abaprosesa baqala ukuthenga i-resin engaphezulu njengoko amaxabiso esiya evuma, nangona imfuno yabathengi kumashishini amaninzi asezantsi iye yehla ngenxa yeemeko zoqoqosho nezoqoqosho. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuxhalabisa Abavelisi kunye nabanye ababoneleli abakhulu be-resin bayaqhubeka nokugculela amaxabiso aphantsi njengoko umkhwa we-bearish ubuyela umva, kunye namanani aphantsi okusebenza kunye namaxabiso aphezulu e-Asia, becinga ukuba oku kuncede ukuphucula imfuno yasekhaya njengoko abanye abathengi bebonakalise inkxalabo malunga nenzuzo elahlekileyo. Izivumelwano ezinkulu kunye namaxabiso aphantsi okugcina.”
Amaxabiso e-polypropylene ehle nge-1 cent/lb ngo-Agasti, ngelixa amaxabiso e-propylene monomer enyuke ngee-2 cents/lb, kodwa imida yababoneleli yehle ngee-3 cents. Ngokutsho kukaBarry we-PCW, uNewell we-Spartan Polymers kunye ne-Plastic Exchange, amaxabiso kaSeptemba e-polypropylene ehle ngee-8 cents ngepawundi, amaxabiso okuhlaliswa kweekhontrakthi ze-monomer ehle ngee-5 cents ngepawundi, kwaye ababoneleli balahlekelwe ezinye ii-3 cents ngenxa yemida ephantsi. Ukongeza, le mithombo ikholelwa ukuba amaxabiso anokuphinda ehle kakhulu ngo-Okthobha, ngelixa amaxabiso engatshintshanga okanye ehlile kule nyanga.
UBarry ubona ukwehla okunokwenzeka ngo-Okthobha, ecaphula imfuno esezantsi kunye nokunikezelwa okugqithisileyo. Ngokuphathelele kule nyanga, ubona amathuba okwehla ngakumbi njengoko i-Exxon Mobil ivula isityalo esitsha se-polypropylene kwaye i-Heartland Polymer inyusa imveliso kwisityalo sayo esitsha. I-Newell ilindele ukuba amaxabiso e-propylene monomer ehle ngeesenti ezi-5 ukuya kwiisenti ezi-8 ngepawundi ngenxa yamaxabiso aphantsi ehlabathi. Usemngciphekweni wokwehla ngakumbi kwenzuzo. Uqaphele ukuba abathengisi be-polypropylene kulindeleke ukuba banciphise imveliso ngenxa ye-£175m engaphezulu ngoJulayi-Agasti njengoko imfuno ihla. Inani leentsuku zokuhambisa linyuke laya kwiintsuku ezingama-40 ngoSeptemba xa kuthelekiswa neentsuku ezingama-30-31 eziqhelekileyo kwimarike elinganayo. Le mithombo ibonise izaphulelo ze-10 ukuya kwi-20 yeesenti ngepawundi xa kuthelekiswa namaxabiso emarike engabonakaliyo.
UGreenberg uchaze imakethi ye-PP spot njengecothayo njengoko imfuno ebuthathaka iqhubeke ukuya ku-Okthobha waza wathi oku kubangelwa kukwehla koqoqosho lwehlabathi, ukungaqiniseki koqoqosho lwexesha elifutshane, ukuveliswa kwe-resin egqithisileyo kunye nabathengi ababonisa amandla abo kwiingxoxo. “Ukuba abavelisi bayaqhubeka nokukhokela nokuphumelela ii-odolo ngokutshintsha izabelo, endaweni yokucothisa imveliso ukuze ilinganisele ukunikezelwa kunye nemfuno, sinokubona ukunyuka kwexabiso lemarike ukuya phambili.”
Emva kokuhla ngeesenti ezingama-22 ukuya kwiisenti ezingama-25 ngeponti ngo-Agasti, amaxabiso e-polystyrene ehle ngeesenti ezili-11 ngeponti ngoSeptemba, kwaye i-PCW's Barry and RTi's Chesshire ilindele ukuhla okungakumbi ngo-Okthobha nakwinyanga enye. Le yokugqibela iqaphele ukuba ukuhla kwe-PS ngoSeptemba bekungaphantsi kokuhla kwexabiso lezinto eziluhlaza ze-14c/lb, kwaye yabonisa ukuhla okuqhubekayo kwemfuno kunye neendleko eziphantsi zezinto eziluhlaza ezixhasa ukuhla okungakumbi, ngaphandle kokuphazamiseka okukhulu kwemveliso.
UBarry wasePCW unengcamango efanayo. Amaxabiso ePolystyrene anyuke ngeesenti ezingama-53 ngeponti ukusukela ngoFebruwari kodwa ehle ngeesenti ezingama-36 ngeponti ekuqaleni kwekota yesine, utshilo. Ubona ithuba lokunciphisa okungakumbi, eqaphela ukuba abathengisi banokufuna ukunciphisa ngakumbi imveliso ye-styrene monomer kunye ne-polystyrene resin.
Ukwaphawule ukuba nangona ukungeniswa kwe-polystyrene resin ngokwesiko bekumalunga ne-5% yezinto ezikhoyo, ukungeniswa kwe-polystyrene resin ebiza kakhulu evela e-Asia kuye kwafudukela kweli candelo lehlabathi, ikakhulu eLatin America, njengoko amaxabiso okuthutha ngoku esezantsi kakhulu. “Kusaza kubonakala ukuba oku kuya kuba yingxaki kubathengisi be-polystyrene baseMntla Melika,” utshilo.
Ngokutsho kukaMark Kallman, usekela mongameli we-RTi we-PVC kunye nee-resin zobunjineli, kunye noDonna Todd, umhleli omkhulu kwi-PCW, amaxabiso e-PVC ehle ngeesenti ezi-5 ngepawundi ngo-Agasti kunye nezinye iisenti ezi-5 ngepawundi ngoSeptemba, nto leyo ebangele ukwehla okupheleleyo ukuya kwiisenti ezili-15 ngepawundi. kwikota yesithathu. UKalman unokubona ukwehla okufanayo ngo-Okthobha nakule nyanga. Izinto ezinegalelo ziquka ukuqhubeka kokuncipha kwemfuno ukusukela ngoMeyi, ubuninzi bobonelelo kwimarike kunye nokusasazeka okukhulu phakathi kwamaxabiso okuthumela ngaphandle nawasekhaya.
UTodd wePCW uqaphele ukuba ukwehla okukhulu kangaka kwamaxabiso kwixesha elifutshane kangaka akukaze kwenzeke kwimarike yePVC, kwaye abathathi-nxaxheba abaninzi kwimarike babenethemba lokuba amaxabiso ePVC awayi kuwa kwikota yokuqala ka-2023, njengoko ubuncinane ingcali enye yemarike yayixele kwangaphambili. . . . Ekuqaleni kuka-Okthobha, uxele ukuba “Nangona abaprosesa bemibhobho yePVC bengathanda ukubona iindleko ze-resin eziphantsi, amaxabiso ePVC ehla njengololiwe wempahla obalekayo anokubabiza imali njengoko amaxabiso e-resin ehlisa amaxabiso emibhobho. Kwezinye iimeko, amaxabiso emibhobho ancitshiswa. ehla ngokukhawuleza kunamaxabiso e-resin. Abaphinda basebenzise kwezinye iimarike, ezifana ne-siding kunye ne-flooring, bakwelinye icala le-equation kuba ezi marike azinakudlulisela ukunyuka okupheleleyo kwamaxabiso e-resin kubathengi bazo. Bayakhululeka ukubona amaxabiso ehla ngokukhawuleza, ngaloo ndlela bebuyisela ishishini labo kwinqanaba elithile lenzuzo.”
Amaxabiso e-PET ehle ngeesenti ezi-2 ukuya kwiisenti ezi-3/lb ngoSeptemba emva kokuhla kweesenti ezingama-20/lb ngoJulayi-Agasti, konke oku kungenxa yokwehla kweendleko zezinto eziluhlaza. UCullman we-RTi ulindele ukuba amaxabiso ehle kwakhona ngeesenti ezi-2-3 ngeponti ngo-Okthobha, kunye namaxabiso aphantsi okanye aphantsi kancinci enyangeni. Imfuno isentle kakhulu, kodwa imakethi yasekhaya ibonelelwa kakuhle kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuyaqhubeka nokuhamba ngamaxabiso anomtsalane, utshilo.
Izinto ziquka imfuno enamandla yasekhaya kunye/okanye yokuthumela ngaphandle, amasheya anqongopheleyo abathengisi kunye neendleko eziphezulu zezinto zokwenza imveliso ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemveliso.